Friday, February 15, 2013

The Space Economy


Today, asteroid 2012 DA14 will whiz by the earth, passing between the surface and our telecommunications satellites. The asteroid is only the diameter of about half a football field, but would have devastating effects if it were to directly impact the earth.

Fortunately, that’s not going to happen, this time anyway. But while we may see asteroids as a threat, there are some who see look at them and see dollar signs.

Competition is already heating up in the market, PlanetaryResources and Deep Space Industries are two companies with plans to mine resource-rich asteroids within the century.  

Many asteroids are rich with valuable metals and other resources like platinum, titanium, oxygen and hydrogen. The estimated value of 2012 DA14 has come in at about $195 billion, $65 billion in recoverable water, and $130 billion in metals.

While it seems like science fiction, there are a lot of real dollars being invested in the space industries. 

Hilton has long had plans for a lunar hotel, and Google (who already backs Planetary Resources) has spent unspecified amounts on its own space-related projects, through its secret developmental lab Google X.

One such project being developed in Google X labs is a space-elevator, which would enable travel and hauling cargo out of earth’s surface and into orbit, no rockets required.

But rockets are beginning to be used privately. Virgin Galactic and their spacecraft SpaceShip Two are planning private flights to space, with over 500 ticket holders waiting in line to takeoff at $200,000 a person.

However, it hasn’t been all smooth sailing for future the future space economy. Last month, the White House rejected a formal petition signed by over 30,000 people for the United States to begin construction on a real-life Death Star (yes, straight out of Star Wars) by 2016. The official response was that the current administration “does not support blowing up planets.” Estimated cost of the project: $850 quadrillion.

Disappointing, but at least us Star Wars fans can look forward to Episode VII though right? And we can all be excited about at least some of the science fiction becoming reality in the space economy.

- Logan Allen

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Can saving the environment save us money?


In his state of the union address, President Obama devoted a significant portion of the speech to discussion climate change and its economic repercussions. 

He discussed how the switch from coal to natural gas-- a cleaner-burning fossil fuel--has reduced our carbon pollution levels.  Positive, yes, but we can't pat ourselves on the back yet.  

Carbon dioxide levels are still extremely high--- 395.5 parts per million as of January, when 100 years ago we were about 180 ppm, and we're slated to cross the 500 ppm threshold by 2050, a level last seen in the Eocene era 55 million to 36 million years ago, back when there were palm trees in Wyoming and crocodiles in the Arctic, according to Harvard professor of earth and planetary science Daniel Schrag.  

And coal is by far our primary energy source-- Schrag predicts that by 2100, 50 percent of the world's energy supply will come from coal-- because it's plentiful and dirt-cheap.  But burning coal produces twice as much carbon dioxide as natural gas. Even the most efficient technology only captures about 45 percent of the energy, sending 55 percent into the air as waste.  Plus, most coal plants aren't that efficient. 

What's more, we export tons coal to China. So even though we're reducing emissions somewhat in America, we're still shipping it to China, and guess what, the tradewinds carry it right back over to the west coast. 

I'm sounding like an activist, I know.  But sit with me in Professor Jim Casey's 8:30 am Environmental and Natural Resources Economics class and you'll understand why I'm starting to freak out. The way I see it, climate change is more of an economic issue than a moral one.  Inefficient energy use is just… silly!

Obama said that it's the overwhelming judgment of science that climate change is an issue. It is, and it's overwhelmingly agreed upon in the scientific community that climate change is anthropocentric (caused by humans), even though some try to argue that it's not.  Climate scientists overwhelmingly agree that human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures, according to a study conducted by scientists at the University of Illinois

Obama made two additional comments that harken to particularly appealing solutions.  

First, he spoke of the need to encourage research and development.  Precisely.. but easier said than done.  Research and development poses the ultimate free rider problem-- everyone benefits from technological advances, but who shoulders the cost?  Especially if Obama wants to stop spending.  I have an idea-- actually it's not mine, it's Schrag's idea from the article linked to above, that he outlined in Harvard Magazine-- but I propose it to this blog. Carbon sequestration in the Atlantic Ocean. This involves trapping the emissions from coal plants, sending it into an offshore platform on the Atlantic and sinking it into deep-ocean sediment. 

It actually stays down there because under high pressure and low temperature, the carbon dioxide actually becomes more dense than water, and would slowly dissolve into the ocean floor.  The Atlantic coastline has room, Schrag estimates, for thousands of years' worth of current U.S. carbon emissions.  The best part?  It would only cost able $100 billion, or 1 percent of GDP.  For reference, Congress approved $700 billion for the Troubled Asset Relief Program.  I'd say it's a deal, especially considering that this lifesaving tactic actually creates longer-reaching benefits than TARP's controversial cash injection, and by creating sustainable jobs. 

Second, Obama asked for the states' help in the climate control solution.  Well, nine New England states, which together represent 20 percent of the nation's economy, are already doing this. It's called the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, which began in 2008 and imposed a cap-and-trade system on the states.  And they're saving money and creating jobs.  Between 2008 and 2011, the RGGI reduced carbon emissions by 20 percent in the states. The program also put $1.1 billion back into the economy through energy bill savings, and created 16,000 new job years (one job sustained for one year). They're doing such a good job that they're lowering their emissions cap because it was so easy to meet.  It has worked for them, and it could work for other states.  

Washington and Lee is its own little microcosm of how environmental policies don't necessarily contradict economic goals.  The school recently launched an energy-saving program. In July, the school reduced energy usage 30 percent, saving $57,455 in utility costs, even with almost all residence halls filled with visiting students. Since the inception of the program in January 2011, the university has saved $766,309 in utility costs.  Plus, building and maintaining the infrastructure once again creates sustainable jobs.  

These two proposals won't solve the problem, but they're a step in the right direction, and they're economically viable. 

Stubborn opponents of environmental reform should remember that with climate change, being stubborn only gets you so far.  When our luck runs out, we won't even have economic interests left to defend.

-Katy Stewart 

Tuesday, February 5, 2013

Is Too-Big-To-Fail Too Precarious for America's Economy?


'Too Big to Fail', HBO's movie rendition of Andrew Ross Sorkin's book, delves into the financial crisis of 2008. The dramatic rendition of the book does an excellent job showing the general public how real and scary the crisis was and just how close we came to seeing the financial sector fail. The movie stresses that ignoring the crisis would have been detrimental to the global economy, and therefore failing banks were forced to merge with healthy banks. Sorkin clearly illustrates his belief that government intervention was necessary, or things would have become much worse.

Many now question whether the issue from the beginning was the mere fact that these banks were deemed too big to fail. Perhaps, we should be breaking up these banks and separating the basic banking services from their riskier endeavors to avoid another crisis like the one in 2008. I believe this is something we should look into, rather than hoping that these banking giants will not fail again. In a Washington Post article, Neil Irwin writes that "banks with trillions of dollars in assets, sprawling global operations that may be too complex to manage", but those assets will also guarantee that the government cannot and will not let them fail. Breaking up the banks appears to be a logical way to reduce the risk of failure, and decrease the extremely damaging impact of failure if it does happen again. 

Annie Howard
Sources:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/02/05/the-case-for-the-too-big-to-fail-banks/

Monday, February 4, 2013

A Penny-Less America, A Better America?

Americans may need to swallow their pride and look to Canada for guidance for once.

As of today, Canada's penny is no longer legal tender.

Many of us have heard that it costs more than a penny to make a penny.  That is, in fact, true.  According to Chris Isidore, a CNNMoney reporter, the U.S. produced and shipped 5.8 billion pennies to banks last year at a cost of 2 cents per penny.

Right now, there are over 150 billion pennies in circulation.  A BBC article from this summer worked out a few interesting examples of just how many pennies there are floating around our country right now.  All the pennies in circulation weigh more than 8 Titanics and would stretch 60% of the way to the moon if they were stacked on top of each other.  And, if you were immortal and incredibly bored (actually, a likely fate of the immortal), counting one penny every second, it would take you 4,756 1/2 years to count them all.

Simply put, there are a lot of pennies and their overall utility is questionable at best.

So, what are they arguments for or against a penny-less America?

First, the obvious anti-penny argument: it costs more to make it than it is actually worth.  So, the government loses money on every penny it makes.

Some say it would speed up transaction times for businesses with cashiers.  This would mean shorter lines for consumers and, hopefully, more transactions for businesses.

Rounding prices, however, is generally not view kindly by consumers.  This past summer Chipotle stopped rounding prices at their busiest stores, both up and down, to the nearest nickel after customers discovered the practice on their receipts, and were none-too-pleased.  Still, some hope the forced "take-a-penny, leave-a-penny" concept can be accepted by consumers to save time (which is money, right?).

Those who want to hold on to the penny, such as Americans for Common Cents, cite a Penn State economics professor's study that estimates Americans would end up pay an extra 2 to 4 billion in "rounding taxes" over 2 years.  However, a Wake Forest professor disagrees, claiming that consumers would break even if every transaction was rounding to the nearest nickel because so many pennies fall out of circulation each year.  All these lost pennies cost the government more money to produce, thus burdening the tax payers anyway.

A penny-less America may sound like a Great Depression era news headline, but such a change could help us avoid that very fate.

Harrison Tucker


Sources:
http://money.cnn.com/2013/02/04/news/economy/end-of-penny/index.html?iid=HP_LN
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-18586854
http://business.time.com/2012/08/30/chipotles-fuzzy-math-why-they-stopped-rounding-customers-out-of-change/